What Mercuria's $250 Million Zambia Deal Means for Power Developers, Lenders and Investors in the South African Region
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What Mercuria's $250 Million Zambia Deal Means for Power Developers, Lenders and Investors in the South African Region

Zambia··Briefly Editorial⏱️ 3 min read

Introduction

Zambia is on a quest to operationalize reforms in its energy sector. The country is seeking to enforce an open access framework and a singular licensing system. The government project estimates increasing its watts from 3,100 MW to 4,576 MW in 2026.

Since 2024 the regulator has overseen 135 power purchase agreements including supply agreements. This is an opportunity for merchant and bilateral sales and regional trade within the South African Power Pool (SAPP) alongside project financing without sovereign guarantees.

The financing was announced last week in Lusaka. On the facts disclosed, it is a funding facility with a regional reach, and it will support assets in the Exergy group's pipeline across both generation and transmission. Exergy's trading activity through Kanona suggests the group intends to sell power as well as build it.

Zambia's Ministry of Energy reports a 48 percent increase in total capacity between 2021 and 2026, and a near tenfold rise in installed solar capacity, from 88 MW to 841 MW. Other private players have moved into the same space, among them BB Energy with the Mailo merchant solar project and GreenCo with the Ilute and Chisamba projects.

Analysis

The deal makes it open for various regulators to come in. These can include : The ERB for license acquisition and changes, the competition authority if it is a notifiable transaction, the exchange control and the central bank if cross boarder transactions are involved.

The regional scope of this facility opens projects outside of Zambia to be subject for licensing , tax and foreign investment regimes based of the host country. Facilities that intend to operate cross-boarder need to be able to conform as an inter-creditor with a security package.

Boards of the Exergy subsidiaries and of any special purpose vehicles face disclosure and conflict questions. Exergy is both a developer and a trader, and Mercuria is a major commodity trading house. If the financing is tied to trading arrangements, boards must manage related-party and conflict issues and document how pricing was set.

Reporting obligations inevitably arise courtesy of the ERB. Subsidiary companies are subject to screening in terms of permits land and grid connections involving public officials to minimise money laundering and funding flows .

Conclusion

The approval figures give developers a reference point on regulatory throughput. The open-access framework supports direct sales to commercial and industrial customers, which suits mining-heavy demand. Contracts that avoid sovereign guarantees, as in GreenCo's projects, widen the pool of projects that can be financed. For advisers, there is demand for work on contract structuring, licensing, wheeling arrangements and cross-border security.

Citations

  1. 1.Electricity Act, 2019 (Zambia).
  2. 2.Energy Regulation Act, 2019 (Zambia).
  3. 3.Zambia Development Agency Act, 2022 (Zambia).
  4. 4.Environmental Management Act, 2011 (Zambia), administered by the Zambia Environment Management Agency.
  5. 5.Competition and Consumer Protection Act, 2010 (Zambia).
  6. 6.Energy Regulation Board, regulatory notices and guidance on licensing, open access and approval of power purchase agreements (to be confirmed against current publications).
  7. 7.Ministry of Energy (Zambia), capacity and solar installation figures, 2021 to 2026.
  8. 8.Southern African Power Pool, Inter-Governmental Memorandum of Understanding and operating rules.

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